Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 0-8
Portadown vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
POR
2 - 1
GLE
36%
25%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
POR
3 - 0
OMA
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
GLE
3 - 1
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
POR
3 - 0
CLI
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
POR
2 - 1
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
NEF
2 - 1
CSK
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
FKM
2 - 0
CSK
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
CSK
2 - 3
LOV
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
SVA
0 - 2
CSK
26%
27%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
CSK
3 - 0
DOB
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |