Portadown vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 3
CLI
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
BAL
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRU
4 - 3
CLI
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
5 - 1
BAL
78%
15%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |