Portadown vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
CLI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
POR
1 - 4
DUN
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
63%
20%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
CRU
19%
25%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
CRU
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |