Portadown vs Coleraine analysis

Portadown Coleraine
63 ELO 70
9.1% Tilt 1.5%
2271º General ELO ranking 1235º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.8%
Portadown
25.7%
Draw
42.5%
Coleraine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
Portadown
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.5%
Win probability
Coleraine
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portadown
+4%
-5%
Coleraine

Points and table prediction

Portadown
Their league position
Coleraine
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Linfield
14
59
23%
Cliftonville
14
59
19.5%
Glentoran
13
55
18%
Crusaders
10
53
17%
Dungannon Swifts
13
51
19%
Coleraine
10
50
18.5%
Larne
10º
5
49
14.5%
Portadown
9
40
18.5%
Ballymena United
12
35
14%
Glenavon
8
35
10º
15.5%
Loughgall
11º
5
35
11º
20.5%
Carrick Rangers
12º
3
27
12º
51%
Expected probabilities
Portadown
Coleraine
Play-offs for the title
18% 72.5%
Relegation play-offs
82% 27.5%

ELO progression

Portadown
Coleraine
Crusaders
Ballymena United
Linfield
Loughgall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portadown
Portadown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2024
POR
Portadown
2 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
39%
25%
36%
62 65 3 0
07 Sep. 2024
CAR
Carrick Rangers
0 - 1
Portadown
POR
42%
26%
32%
61 60 1 +1
30 Aug. 2024
POR
Portadown
2 - 2
Linfield
LIN
28%
25%
46%
61 70 9 0
20 Aug. 2024
LOU
Loughgall
2 - 2
Portadown
POR
54%
23%
23%
61 63 2 0
17 Aug. 2024
POR
Portadown
1 - 2
Glentoran
GLE
30%
26%
44%
61 70 9 0

Matches

Coleraine
Coleraine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2024
COL
Coleraine
3 - 1
Carrick Rangers
CAR
61%
22%
17%
70 59 11 0
01 Sep. 2024
COL
Coleraine
1 - 1
Larne
LAR
47%
27%
27%
70 70 0 0
24 Aug. 2024
COL
Coleraine
0 - 2
Glenavon
GLE
64%
21%
15%
70 56 14 0
20 Aug. 2024
GLE
Glentoran
0 - 0
Coleraine
COL
45%
25%
30%
70 70 0 0
16 Aug. 2024
COL
Coleraine
4 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
68%
20%
12%
70 56 14 0
X