Portadown vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
58
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DOL
5 - 1
POR
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 0
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
POR
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
CLI
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
ARD
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
AUN
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
COL
10%
18%
73%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
COL
5 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |