Portadown vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
37
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POR
0 - 3
GLE
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
LAR
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |