Portadown vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
11º
8º
15
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 59 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 53 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 53 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 52 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 45 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 38 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 32 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 27 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
37.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62.5% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 3
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
LIN
28%
25%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
CLI
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 4
BAL
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
BAL
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
31%
25%
43%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |