Portadown vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
11º
12º
12º
32
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 0
POR
66%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
GLE
8%
20%
72%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 5
LAR
7%
19%
74%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 1
CLI
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 1
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |