Portadown vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
POR
4 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CLI
0 - 1
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
GLE
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 3
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 2
BAL
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |