Portadown vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
LOU
30%
23%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
POR
5 - 1
NEY
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
POR
4 - 1
DER
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
NEY
4 - 1
ARD
35%
23%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 0
ARD
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 0
DUN
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
ARD
54%
22%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |