Portadown vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
GLE
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
DON
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 0
LIM
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ARD
4 - 0
IFC
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 2
ARD
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 2
ARD
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |