Port Vale vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 0
OXF
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 1
BRA
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
CRE
0 - 0
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
28%
28%
45%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 1
CRY
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
CRE
0 - 1
WAT
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 0
BOL
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 2
WAT
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 1
TRA
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |