Port Vale vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 2
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
SCU
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
WAL
2 - 2
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
POR
3 - 0
COL
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 1
TOW
33%
24%
44%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 1
PNE
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BPO
1 - 2
TRA
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STA
1 - 2
TRA
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
STF
2 - 3
TRA
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |