Port Vale vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
POR
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
CHE
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 4
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 2
WOL
56%
21%
24%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
DON
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
0 - 2
CUM
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
4 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWI
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
EXE
2 - 1
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |