Port Vale vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
WRE
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
HAR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BOU
1 - 2
POR
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
BOS
4 - 1
SWI
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRI
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
SWI
2 - 2
BOS
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
HUR
1 - 1
SWI
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SWI
1 - 1
SCU
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |