Port Vale vs Stockport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
SWI
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BOU
4 - 0
POR
52%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
DON
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
COL
2 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
4 - 0
STO
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
STO
1 - 0
POS
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 1
STO
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
STO
3 - 3
SWI
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
STO
3 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |