FA Cup 1/64
Global 4-4
Port Vale vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EXE
0 - 1
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
POR
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
DER
22%
27%
50%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STF
2 - 1
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 2
STE
30%
28%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
STE
2 - 2
POS
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 3
STE
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
LIN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |