Port Vale vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
NOR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WYC
1 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
ROT
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRE
0 - 1
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
STE
0 - 0
OXF
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
STF
1 - 0
STE
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
BCF
3 - 0
STE
33%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
STE
2 - 2
STA
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |