Port Vale vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
BCF
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
STA
3 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
ALD
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
SOU
29%
25%
47%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |