Port Vale vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
POR
4 - 4
QPR
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
GRI
1 - 1
POR
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
BBU
1 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
POR
0 - 2
OPA
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
MAC
0 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
SHE
3 - 0
SOU
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
LEI
2 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1996 |
BOL
3 - 1
SOU
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHA
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
BIR
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |