Port Vale vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
POR
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
POR
1 - 4
OLD
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
GRI
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 0
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
STF
1 - 1
STO
19%
23%
59%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STF
0 - 0
FLE
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
STF
53%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
STF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STF
1 - 0
COV
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |