Port Vale vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
STA
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 3
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 2
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
ROC
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WYC
2 - 2
STF
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STF
3 - 1
NOR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GIL
2 - 0
STF
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
STF
1 - 0
ROT
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
OLD
0 - 1
STF
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |