Port Vale vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 1
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 2
COV
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LEY
3 - 2
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CUM
0 - 1
POR
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
OPA
3 - 0
ROC
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 2
WYC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
STA
1 - 2
ROC
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
GUL
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
BCF
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |