Port Vale vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
POR
4 - 1
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
POR
2 - 1
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 0
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
POR
4 - 2
NOT
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
QPR
0 - 0
REA
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
REA
4 - 0
LUT
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
REA
1 - 0
HUR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
BPO
0 - 2
REA
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
REA
3 - 3
BOU
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |