Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
WYC
3 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
POR
4 - 2
MAN
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
POR
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
POR
0 - 1
CRE
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
LUT
0 - 0
POR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
PLY
1 - 1
SWI
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
STO
0 - 3
PLY
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
COL
0 - 0
PLY
34%
26%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
PLY
4 - 1
STO
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
BCF
0 - 3
PLY
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |