Port Vale vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
EXE
0 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 3
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
GRI
33%
25%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 0
OXF
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 3
ROT
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BRO
0 - 1
OXF
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 0
AFC
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |