Port Vale vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
TRA
2 - 0
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SWI
1 - 1
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
CRE
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
POR
1 - 1
BOL
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
SHE
1 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
5 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
1 - 1
NOR
54%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
QPR
2 - 1
OXF
74%
16%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
OXF
4 - 0
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |