Port Vale vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
POR
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
FLE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
DON
0 - 0
POR
39%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
STE
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 1
POR
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SCU
1 - 0
OLD
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 2
OLD
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
OLD
2 - 1
DON
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
OLD
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |