Port Vale vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
POR
0 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
HUR
2 - 2
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
SWI
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
STO
1 - 0
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
SHE
2 - 1
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
SHW
4 - 1
NTT
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
NTT
3 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
BOL
3 - 2
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
BRI
0 - 0
NTT
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |