Port Vale vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
POR
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
ROT
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
STF
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRA
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
DAG
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |