Port Vale vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WYC
1 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
ROT
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
6 - 2
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |