Port Vale vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
SWI
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
QPR
4 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
REA
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 0
NOR
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHE
42%
28%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
MID
3 - 1
NOR
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
COL
3 - 1
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 0
BHA
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |