Port Vale vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 0
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 3
BRO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
POR
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POR
3 - 2
OLD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 1
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 0
NEW
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRA
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
0 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
EXE
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |