Port Vale vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 1
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
CRA
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
POR
0 - 4
LIN
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
OXF
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOT
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 4
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |