Port Vale vs Newcastle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MKD
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CRE
0 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
POR
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
STE
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
STF
3 - 0
NWC
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
NWC
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 0
NWC
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NWC
1 - 1
MAC
29%
22%
48%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
GRI
2 - 3
NWC
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |