Port Vale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 2
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
HUR
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
GUL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
POR
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
STE
0 - 1
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 0
BCF
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 4
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
CUM
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |