Port Vale vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
3 - 2
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 2
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |