Port Vale vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
COV
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POS
2 - 2
POR
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
GRI
31%
26%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |