EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-4
Port Vale vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
56.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
POR
2 - 1
MID
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1994 |
GRI
4 - 1
POR
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
OPA
0 - 2
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
POR
0 - 1
LUT
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1994 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1994 |
MUD
4 - 2
GÖT
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
LEE
2 - 1
MUD
31%
27%
43%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
MUD
3 - 0
WIM
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
TOT
0 - 1
MUD
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |