Port Vale vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
TOT
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
0 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MIL
1 - 1
POR
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
NOR
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
STO
2 - 0
LIN
31%
25%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 1
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
7 - 1
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 0
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 5
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |