Port Vale vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
OXF
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
STF
2 - 2
POR
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
MAC
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
STE
0 - 1
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HER
0 - 3
BCF
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 2
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |