Port Vale vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
STO
1 - 2
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
BOU
38%
26%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
SHW
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
DON
2 - 0
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 3
LUT
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HAR
0 - 1
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
HAR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 0
HAR
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |