FA Cup 1/128
Global 0-1
Port Vale vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
SWI
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 3
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
POR
0 - 4
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 2
GRI
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 1
LUT
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
EBB
3 - 1
GRI
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
YOR
2 - 1
GRI
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
GRI
5 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |