Port Vale vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POS
2 - 2
POR
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BCF
4 - 1
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
DCO
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
SCU
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 1
BRA
44%
27%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 2
SHE
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
GIL
1 - 2
LUT
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STF
2 - 3
GIL
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 2
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |