Port Vale vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
PLY
60%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
3 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 2
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 3
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 4
AFC
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STF
2 - 0
GIL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 3
STO
16%
26%
59%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |