Port Vale vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
POR
3 - 3
LEE
25%
27%
49%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 2
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
DON
2 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 3
OLD
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
2 - 1
BOU
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GIL
0 - 3
CRE
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
DON
2 - 1
GIL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 0
GIL
53%
23%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
BHA
4 - 2
GIL
51%
24%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |