Port Vale vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
LIN
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
LIN
1 - 0
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
NTT
6 - 1
POR
62%
19%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
POR
0 - 0
WHU
53%
20%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
PLY
3 - 0
POR
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
SOU
2 - 0
FUL
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
FUL
1 - 0
SOU
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
OLD
2 - 2
FUL
57%
21%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
FUL
1 - 0
PNE
51%
21%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
BRA
3 - 1
FUL
62%
20%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |