Port Vale vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
STF
1 - 2
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
POR
1 - 4
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
EXE
0 - 0
GRI
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BCF
0 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
EXE
3 - 0
GIL
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 4
EXE
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
EXE
2 - 2
NOT
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |