Port Vale vs Derby County Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
SCU
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
ROC
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 1
POR
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
DCO
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |