Port Vale vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
1 - 2
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
CUM
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BPO
0 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 1
MKD
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRE
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 2
WAL
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRE
4 - 2
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |